Fig. 12
From: A versatile web app for identifying the drivers of COVID-19 epidemics
The daily incidence in the Israeli epidemic is plotted (orange curve) from March 1 to November 30, 2020. The blue curve is the simulated output fitted to the incidence data over the period March 1 to July 7, with MCMC projections of the mean (continued blue curve) plus/minus 2 standard deviations (broken red curves) over the period July 9 to Nov 30 (see Fig. 9)